What happened

On August 28, a new batch of QDII quotas totaling $6.84 billion was distributed, with securities and fund institutions receiving the largest share at $3.72 billion. Banks and insurers gained $1.76 billion and $1.36 billion respectively, while trust institutions received none.

Among fund firms, Dacheng, China AMC, and Wanjia each added $100 million, while Xinyuan Fund obtained its first-ever QDII quota of $100 million. As of end-August, E Fund held the highest quota at $7.96 billion, followed by China AMC at $6.95 billion.

The new allocation pushed the cumulative QDII quota for securities and fund institutions above $100 billion — specifically $101 billion, representing 55.19% of all QDII quotas. Insurance institutions held 22.95%, banks 16.93%, and trusts 4.93%.

Why it matters

The expanded quota is expected to help narrow the persistently large premiums on cross-border ETFs, which have surged as demand for overseas investment outpaces limited supply. With more room for primary market subscriptions, the arbitrage mechanism that usually flattens ETF premiums could function more effectively.

For fund managers, the release extends commercial space and profit channels, supporting deeper overseas investment and global asset management capability. But it also raises the bar for risk control, asset allocation, and cross-border compliance, turning overseas investing into a test of comprehensive institutional strength.

Key facts

The August 28 batch of QDII quotas totaled $6.84 billion, with securities and fund firms receiving $3.72 billion.

Securities and fund institutions' cumulative QDII quota reached $101 billion, exceeding the $100 billion mark for the first time.

As of August 28, the Nasdaq Technology ETF (Jingshun) had a premium of 12.25%, and several other ETFs tracking Nasdaq, S&P 500, or Nikkei had premiums above 10%.

About 15 OTC QDII funds had daily purchase limits below 100 yuan as of August 29.

What to watch next

Fund managers are closely watching the US stock market for signs of divergence. Some expect AI-driven gains to continue long-term but with periodic pullbacks caused by rising Treasury yields and power supply constraints, while others see a shift from broad rallies to bottom-up stock selection.

The structural differentiation within AI-related sectors is a key focus. Upstream hardware such as compute chips and storage may show stronger earnings certainty, whereas some cloud and software companies face pressure from rising capital expenditure and need further verification of profitability.

Volatility is likely to persist as the market digests Treasury yield movements, the midterm elections, and the ongoing evolution of AI technology from conversational applications to agents. Investors may need to balance patience with selective positioning.

Sources